Tropical Storm Elsa Update #7

Date:               7/6/2021          5:00 PM


Tropical Storm Elsa Update #7

Tropical Storm Elsa is currently located about 155 miles south/southwest of Tampa and is expected to become a hurricane before landfall over the northern Florida Gulf Coast. Elsa is moving at 10 mph with maximum sustained winds of 70 mph with higher gusts.

Elsa is forecast to make landfall along the north Florida Gulf Coast Wednesday morning and then move across the southeastern United States through Thursday. Weakening will begin after Elsa moves inland by late Wednesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles from the center of the storm. Tropical storm conditions are expected to spread northward into west-central Florida and the Florida Big Bend region tonight and early Wednesday.

Two to four inches of rain with localized maximum totals up to six inches are expected through Wednesday night, which may result in considerable isolated flooding across Florida. A few tornadoes are possible through tonight across the Florida Peninsula. The tornado threat will continue on Wednesday across north Florida.

John Knox Village can continue to expect tropical storm-force winds late this evening into Wednesday morning.

In addition to rain and hazardous winds, John Knox Village is preparing for tornados having possible significant impacts across all of east-central Florida. Potential impacts of a tornado include loss of power, uprooted trees and building damage. Closely monitor, NOAA Weather Radio and local news outlets for official storm information related to Tornado Watches and Warnings for our area and listen for possible changes to the forecast.

What is the difference between a Tornado Watch and a Tornado Warning issued by the National Weather Service?

  • Tornado Watch: Tornadoes are possible in and near the watch area. Be ready to act quickly if a warning is issued or you suspect a tornado is approaching. The watch area is typically large, covering numerous counties or even states.
  • Tornado Warning: Take Action! A tornado has been sighted or indicated by weather radar. Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. Warnings typically encompass a much smaller area that may be impacted by a tornado identified by a forecaster on radar or by a trained spotter/law enforcement who is watching the storm.


Additional staff will be on site tonight to assist with any issues that might arise due to severe weather conditions. Should you need assistance this evening or early tomorrow morning dial (386) 775-3840 extension 0 to reach the gate house.

If you plan on relocating to a friend’s cottage or apartment for the duration of the storm, please complete the Plan for Absence form on the portal or email Nicole Vega at so that we know your location should we need to get in touch with you.